Sender: •••@••.••• (Richard K. Moore) Dear c-r, I'm glad to see some serious debate regarding telecom regulation beginning on this list. I've put forward the argument that our previous regulatory system was superior to the new Reform-bill regime -- the latter being intentionally designed, I claim, to foster a non-competitive, monopolist marketplace. Further, I offered an analysis (re: Straits of Consumption) of how the economics and pricing are likely to develop for info-products, and concluded that non-commercial users will probably find themselves out in the cold in cyberspace. Craig Johnson responded that the previous regulatory regime was due for a change. That observation in no way challenges my analysis of the new regime, but it does invite us to take a closer look at the previous regime, which is evidently widely misunderstood. Admittedly the previous regime can be characterized as patches upon patches. Starting from (essentially) a single-vendor vertical-monopoly telecom market, we then patched-on the AT&T divestiture, in a series of little patches which liberated one market after another from AT&T domination, each patch usually spurred by some private anti-trust action. As with any oft-patched system, there does indeed come a point where a re-write is in order. But when re-writing a system, the first reasonable step is to look at the old one and ask questions like: - What functions does it perform? - Which strategies are working well? - Which strategies need rethinking? - What new functions are needed? Without such an analysis, we're ignoring everything we've learned -- as regulation architects, we'd be grossly irresponsible. It'd be as if a building architect were to ignore the fact that a previous building on his site slid down the hill last time it rained. (Ignore the past at your peril, and all that.) The AT&T divestiture, in the large, was about breaking communications into independent market "layers": - local loop - long-distance services (eg. MCI, Sprint) - terminal equipment (eg. phone-sets, extension cables, switches) - encoding mechanisms (eg. modems/multiplexing/protocols) - value-added services (eg. Tymnet, Telenet, Internet) These layers were not all "liberated" at once -- non-Bell modems came early (the Carterphone Decision), while value-added services and long-distance reselling came later. This market-layering strategy is a sound one -- it has succeeded in encouraging innovation, birthing new markets, keeping prices reasonable, and maintaining reasonable continuity all the while. Each layer in this previous regime had its own characteristics: some (like terminal equipment) were fully market driven, while others (local loop) continued the earlier regulated-monopoly model, and others were mixed-mode. These differences reflected technical and market realties, and were tuned from time to time as the industry continued to evolve. It seems to me that this fundamental layering strategy is an admirable one. It creates multiple "level playing fields" by factoring the marketplace along natural lines of cleavage. Indeed, the layering strategy makes EVEN MORE SENSE in the cyber future, where we now have information services and public networking (at least) as new "playing fields" to add to the mix. It is this layering system which has provided commodity communications and commodity equipment -- out of which it has been possible to assemble Internet from off-the-shelf components and services. The natural progression would be for bandwidth to become ever cheaper, and for cyberspace to evolve naturally as Internet goes through successive upgrades or re-writes, or competing networks give it a run for the money. If a new Telcom bill is overdue, fair enough, but throwing out the baby with the bathwater is not progress. The fact is that everyone is better served by layered markets than by one monolithic, unregulated, monopoly-inviting marketplace. Everyone is better served, that is, EXCEPT for the large telecom companies. They face the prospect of fighting it out in their competitive commodity-bandwidth layer, while others make huge profits in the new information market layers. Understandable that they'd fight for a bigger piece of the pie -- but NOT understandable that the rest of us allow ourselves to be willingly bludgeoned back into the anti-competition dark ages -- so that the telcoms can control the WHOLE pie. To those who say "We should wait and see how things pan out", I say "We've been there, done that, and should know better!" There's no mystery about where things are heading, at least not among the players involved. They knew exactly what they wanted, hired enough lobbyists and congress-folk to achieve it, and are now engaged in a merger-frenzy -- as a prelude to their anticipated feeding-frenzy. I invite everyone to wake up and smell the coffee, if they haven't already. This is not the time for laissez-faire know-nothingism. I may have an advantage over some of you, in that I've lived through most of the changes I've been describing. I can remember (as an adult) when it was illegal to attach a non-Bell phone set to your line, to use a non-Bell modem or extension cable, or to concentrate two calls onto one wire. I worked for the company that first won the right to sell value-added networking, and I've participated in developing many of the new technologies that were spurred by the competition-encouraging regulatory regime. It is at a visceral level that I respond to the naked power-grab represented by the Telcom bill. I see years of progress (in which I was professionally involved) being scuttled by a band of pirates who were able to smuggle their way on board the Titanic II (aka: "USS Contract On America"). The deceptive, hypocritical rhetoric surrounding this pirate raid (again I refer you to PFF's Magna Carta for the classic exposition) has been shallow and illogical in the extreme. We must break free of industry-sponsored mythology (which ignores, for example, that the Internet was developed at government initiative) if we are to achieve useful discourse on these topics. Regards, -rkm ~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~--~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~ Posted by Richard K. Moore - •••@••.••• - Wexford, Ireland Cyberlib: www | ftp --> ftp://ftp.iol.ie/users/rkmoore/cyberlib ~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~--~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~ ~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~-~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~ Posted by Andrew Oram - •••@••.••• - Moderator: CYBER-RIGHTS (CPSR) Cyber-Rights: http://www.cpsr.org/cpsr/nii/cyber-rights/ ftp://www.cpsr.org/cpsr/nii/cyber-rights/Library/ CyberJournal: (WWW or FTP) --> ftp://ftp.iol.ie/users/rkmoore Materials may be reposted in their _entirety_ for non-commercial use. ~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~-~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~